Check out the “DAY ZERO” YouTube Video at end of report
〰️
Check out the “DAY ZERO” YouTube Video at end of report 〰️
Palos Verdes & South Bay
Daily Market Intelligence Report
Executive Summary — Derivative Calculus Price Momentum Analysis™
Saturday, June 13, 2026 registered 155 total status changes across the Palos Verdes Peninsula and South Bay corridor — a robust mid-June activity signature. The Absorption Coefficient (AC) of 1.250 (40 In Escrow ÷ 32 New Listings) signals that the market is consuming available supply faster than it is being replenished, a first-derivative reading that describes positive velocity in demand relative to supply. An AC above 1.0 is a seller’s market threshold; at 1.25, the market is accelerating beyond equilibrium.
The Escrow Fragility Index (EFI) of 20.00% (10 Back on Market ÷ 50 total escrow events × 100) sits comfortably below the 25% caution threshold. This second-derivative reading measures the rate of escrow disruption — the acceleration at which deals are reversing. At 20%, deal flow is holding firm, with only 1 in 5 escrow events ending in failure. The combined signal is constructive: velocity is positive and acceleration of disruption remains below the warning level.
The 34 closed sales validate demand at scale, with average closed price of $1,577,663 and a median of $1,325,000. The PV Peninsula produced three landmark closings above $2.7M, including 21 Coveview Drive at $3,500,000 ($987/sf) and 16 Saddle Road at $3,435,000 ($731/sf) in RPV. The 25 price reductions (16.1% of active inventory signaling) and 10 BOM events are natural market corrective pressure — not a sign of weakness, but healthy recalibration among overpriced or condition-challenged properties.
Status Breakdown — June 13, 2026
| Status | Count | % of Total |
|---|---|---|
| In Escrow | 40 | 25.8% |
| Closed Sale | 34 | 21.9% |
| New Listing | 32 | 20.6% |
| Price Reduced | 25 | 16.1% |
| Failed Listing — Off Market | 14 | 9.0% |
| Failed Escrow — Back on Market | 10 | 6.5% |
| TOTAL | 155 | 100% |
Closed Sales Detail — 34 Transactions
Average: $1,577,663 | Median: $1,325,000 | Range: $466,000 – $3,500,000
| Address | City | Price | Bd/Ba | Sq Ft |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Saddle | RPV | $3,500,000 | 5/5 | 4,700 |
| 21 Coveview DR | RPV | $3,500,000 | 5/4 | 3,547 |
| 30481 Ganado | RPV | $2,725,000 | 4/4 | 2,677 |
| 2001 Speyer LN | REDO | $2,855,000 | 5/5 | 3,121 |
| 2700 183rd | REDO | $1,375,000 | — | — |
| 1907 Voorhees | REDO | $2,700,000 | 5/4 | 3,839 |
| 2422 N Ardmore AVE | MANH | $3,375,000 | 4/4 | 3,017 |
| 3204 Crest DR | MANH | $2,210,000 | 3/4 | 2,260 |
| 1240 15th ST | HMB | $3,134,000 | 5/4 | 2,244 |
| 922 15th PL | HMB | $2,395,000 | 3/2 | 2,026 |
| 1210 1st PL | HMB | $2,060,000 | 3/2 | 1,596 |
| 20020 Donora | TORR | $1,689,000 | 3/2 | 1,737 |
| 4713 W 191st ST | TORR | $1,472,000 | 4/2 | 1,817 |
| 5206 Torrance BLVD | TORR | $1,100,000 | 3/2 | 1,330 |
| 16718 Cerise AVE | TORR | $870,000 | 4/2 | 1,764 |
| 20506 Catalina ST | TORR | $730,000 | 3/2 | 1,400 |
| 2114 Lincoln | TORR | $679,000 | 2/2 | 1,003 |
| 4014 W 167th | LAWN | $1,000,050 | — | 1,714 |
| 14801 Firmona | LAWN | $943,000 | 3/2 | 1,159 |
| 14807 Condon AVE #220 | LAWN | $466,000 | 2/1 | 939 |
| 1129 W Capitol Dr. #29 | SP | $965,000 | 4/3 | 2,013 |
| 1698 Lexington LN | SP | $900,000 | 3/3 | 1,852 |
| 3720 S Meyler | SP | $902,500 | 3/1 | 996 |
| 1360 W Capitol DR #138 | SP | $585,000 | 2/2 | 1,431 |
| 702 S Pacific Coast HWY | REDO | $1,860,000 | 6/0 | 2,936 |
| 807 High | REDO | $1,325,000 | 3/1 | 1,137 |
| 620 The Village #212 | REDO | $825,000 | 1/1 | 619 |
| 204 N Lucia #A | REDO | $1,675,000 | 4/3 | 2,300 |
| 1904 Morgan #A | REDO | $1,325,000 | 4/3 | 1,975 |
| 2604 Grant AVE #A | REDO | $1,625,000 | 4/5 | 2,330 |
| 12921 Mission #102 | HAWT | $1,050,000 | 2/3 | 1,630 |
| 2407 Chapman | LOM | $1,120,000 | 3/2 | 1,488 |
| 1232 W Papeete | WILM | $775,000 | 3/1 | 1,142 |
| 3500 W Manchester #240 | ING | $685,000 | 3/3 | 1,654 |
| 2571 Plaza Del Amo #109 | TORR | $685,000 | 2/2 | 1,165 |
4-Point Buyer Advisory — June 13, 2026
An AC of 1.25 means demand exceeds supply. Hesitation costs; today’s 40 homes entering escrow will further compress available choices next week. Pre-approve your financing and have your target criteria sharply defined before stepping into showings.
Ten homes re-entered the market today after failed escrows. These properties are often priced correctly but the prior buyer had financing or inspection issues unrelated to the property itself. These are re-entry opportunities that deserve immediate investigation before they re-enter escrow again.
Twenty-five properties dropped their asking price today. These sellers have already made a concession — they are not testing the market, they are responding to it. For buyers who found a property slightly out of reach, revisiting these reduced listings before the weekend is a sound strategy.
Today’s three RPV closed sales ranged from $731 to $1,018 per square foot, with three homes above $2.7M. Understanding submarket PPSF benchmarks is essential before making an offer. Contact George for a Derivative Calculus Price Momentum Analysis™ specific to your target neighborhood.
4-Point Seller Advisory — June 13, 2026
The AC of 1.25 is a first-derivative signal that buyer demand is moving faster than supply replenishment. Sellers who enter this week capture buyers competing in a supply-constrained environment. Every week of delay allows 32+ new competitors to enter alongside you.
Thirty-four homes closed today at an average of $1,577,663. The same day, 25 sellers dropped their prices. The market is highly efficient: correctly priced homes close; aspirationally priced homes sit and eventually reduce. The 14 off-market exits confirm that failed listings carry a real cost. Price to the data, not to hope.
Eight in ten escrows are completing successfully. Sellers can take confidence that the buyer pool is qualified. However, the 10 failed escrows today point to preparation gaps — inspection surprises, HOA documentation delays, and financing condition issues. Pre-listing inspection and disclosure review eliminates these risks before they become your problem.
Three new Palos Verdes Estates listings debuted today, including 1016 Via Romero at $3,599,000, 900 Via Nogales at $4,590,000, and 1824 Paseo Del Mar at $7,399,000. The ultra-luxury tier is active. If your PV property is in the $2M–$5M range, competition is increasing from both sides. Timing and positioning are critical.
4 Strategic Opportunity Plays
Target today’s 10 Failed Escrow – Back on Market listings. The original buyer failed; the property is still available. Request seller disclosure history and the prior buyer’s inspection report (often producible). Act within 72 hours before they re-enter escrow.
The 25 price reductions signal sellers who have already flinched. For buyers who passed on a property last week citing price, today is the re-engagement window. A fresh offer with a clean close timeline frequently succeeds where initial offers failed.
Three new PVE luxury listings today, including a $7.4M ocean-view estate. For buyers in the $4M–$8M range, the Palos Verdes Estates market is showing rare depth. Comparative analysis of adjacent closed sales shows value compression at the $3.5M–$5M tier that represents a strategic entry point before summer premium season.
The AC of 1.25 historically precedes inventory buildup by 3–6 weeks. Sellers who list in the next two weeks capture the highest buyer-to-listing ratio. After the AC normalizes toward 1.0, competition among listings intensifies and pricing power erodes. The data favors listing now.
Derivative Calculus Price Momentum Analysis™ — June 13, 2026
Combined signal: Positive first-derivative velocity with controlled second-derivative fragility — the market is accelerating in the right direction with manageable escrow risk. This is the optimal environment for both decisive buyers and strategic sellers.
George Fotion applies 45+ years of consecutive daily CRMLS tracking and Derivative Calculus Price Momentum Analysis™ to give you a precision advantage in the Palos Verdes and South Bay market.
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Daily Market Bulletin | Data sourced from MLS | 45+ Years of South Bay Market Intelligence | CalDRE#785373
